{"id":8561,"date":"2018-02-21T07:30:33","date_gmt":"2018-02-21T12:30:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=8561"},"modified":"2018-02-21T07:30:33","modified_gmt":"2018-02-21T12:30:33","slug":"dont-buy-walmart-until-you-read-this","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/dont-buy-walmart-until-you-read-this\/","title":{"rendered":"Don\u2019t Buy Walmart Until You Read This"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>America\u2019s biggest retailer got hit with a sledgehammer yesterday.<\/p>\n<p>Walmart Inc. (WMT) tanked after the company reported earnings that didn\u2019t measure up to Wall Street\u2019s expectations. The stock fell 10% \u2013 its biggest one-day decline in almost seven years. And it prompted a lot of bargain-hunting talking heads to say something like, \u201cNow is a good time to buy WMT.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>I disagree\u2026 at least for the short term.<\/p>\n<p>At yesterday\u2019s closing price of $94.11 per share, WMT still trades at 25 times earnings and offers a dividend yield of 2.17%. That\u2019s still relatively expensive compared to Walmart\u2019s historic price-to-earnings (P\/E) ratio \u2013 about 22 \u2013 and dividend yield of 2.6%. So it\u2019s not exactly a bargain price.<\/p>\n<p>I get it though. I understand the attraction to being able to buy one of America\u2019s iconic stocks at a 10% discount to where it was trading just one day ago. But, here\u2019s the thing\u2026<\/p>\n<p>Stocks that get hit over the head by a sledgehammer might stumble back to their feet and take a step or two in a higher direction\u2026 but they\u2019ll almost always fall over again and make a lower low. That\u2019s often when investors get a better buying opportunity.<\/p>\n<p>Here\u2019s an example of what I mean. Take a look at this chart of Target (TGT) over the past year\u2026<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"836\" height=\"380\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-8564\" style=\"width: 100%;\" src=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/19\/2018\/02\/Screen-Shot-2018-02-21-at-10.58.33-AM.png\" alt=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/Screen-Shot-2018-02-21-at-10.58.33-AM.png 836w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/Screen-Shot-2018-02-21-at-10.58.33-AM-300x136.png 300w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/Screen-Shot-2018-02-21-at-10.58.33-AM-768x349.png 768w, https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/Screen-Shot-2018-02-21-at-10.58.33-AM-700x318.png 700w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 836px) 100vw, 836px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>TGT got hit with three sledgehammers last year. Each one was a poor reaction to an earnings report. And each one led to a good buying opportunity in the stock \u2013 but not right away.<\/p>\n<p>Following each sharp selloff in TGT shares, the stock gained its footing and stumbled a bit higher. But each time, the stock came back down and hit a lower low before mounting a more significant rally.<\/p>\n<p>My <em>Delta Report<\/em> subscribers traded TGT based on this sledgehammer pattern all three times last year. We recorded gains of 8.2% in nine days, 12.1% in 29 days, and 136% in four days.<\/p>\n<p>I expect we\u2019ll have a similar opportunity to earn big gains in WMT as a similar pattern plays out in the stock. But we\u2019re not buying it yet.<\/p>\n<p>Any short-term bounce in WMT from here is likely to be followed by another decline to a lower low. That\u2019s when we\u2019ll be looking to buy WMT.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"max-width: 200px; width: 100%;\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<p><strong>P.S. <\/strong>The \u201csledgehammer pattern\u201d I showed you today is just one of many methods we use in the <em>Delta Report<\/em> to lock in low-risk, fast, outsized gains each week.<\/p>\n<p>We don\u2019t follow the talking-head playbook\u2026 We look at the markets rationally and find the most profitable trade for each week\u2019s conditions.<\/p>\n<p>To learn more about a <em>Delta Report<\/em> subscription, <a href=\"https:\/\/secure.jeffclarktrader.com\/chain?cid=MKT341952&amp;eid=MKT347205&amp;step=start&amp;plcid=PLC031337&amp;SNAID=%25%25SNAID%25%25&amp;encryptedSnaid=%25%25ENCRYPTEDSNAID%25%25&amp;emailjobid=%25%25jobid%25%25&amp;emailname=%25%25emailname_%25%25\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">click here<\/a>\u2026<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Today, a reader responds to yesterday\u2019s essay, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/the-kiss-of-death\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">The Kiss of Death<\/a>\u201d\u2026<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left: 4px solid #ccc; margin: 0px 30px 0px 10px; padding-left: 15px;\"><p>The &#8220;crash of 2008&#8221; is now a talking point within our collective market memory, but I hardly ever hear any reference to the real smash-up that ensued in the winter of 2009.<\/p>\n<p>Going mostly to cash after suffering only the beginnings of the big drop in the fall of\u00a02008, by the first of the New Year I was ready to go all in for the inevitable rebound, only to be stopped out of everything by February. At that point, the wind was out of my sails, and I took a multi-year break from the markets \u2013 a mistake from which I still haven&#8217;t recovered.<\/p>\n<p>Wall Street seems to know just how much everyone can, and can&#8217;t, stomach \u2013 and when!<\/p>\n<p style=\"-ms-text-size-adjust: none; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; margin-bottom: 20px;\" align=\"right\"><strong>\u2013 Mark<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Do you think it\u2019s time to buy into this correction? Or is there more downside to come?<\/p>\n<p>Send in your response \u2013 as well as any trading stories, questions, and suggestions\u00a0\u2013 <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">right here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Walmart tanked yesterday. Here\u2019s why it\u2019s still not a good buy\u2026 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-8561","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8561","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8561"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8561\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8561"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8561"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8561"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=8561"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=8561"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=8561"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=8561"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}