{"id":8897,"date":"2018-03-16T07:30:29","date_gmt":"2018-03-16T11:30:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/?p=8897"},"modified":"2018-03-16T07:30:29","modified_gmt":"2018-03-16T11:30:29","slug":"get-ready-to-buy-more-gold","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/get-ready-to-buy-more-gold\/","title":{"rendered":"Get Ready to Buy (More) Gold"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Short-term pain in the gold market should lead to long-term gains.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/gold%E2%80%99s-decline-is-temporary\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Earlier this month<\/a>, I wrote an essay explaining why gold was likely to end 2018 quite a bit higher than where it is right now. Though, I also argued that the price of the yellow metal could work slightly lower over the next few weeks.<\/p>\n<p>Well, here we are. Almost two weeks later, and the price of gold has dipped a bit from earlier this month. And it looks like that short-term decline is about to accelerate.<\/p>\n<p>Take a look at this daily chart of the price of gold\u2026<br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-8900\" style=\"width: 100%;\" src=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/03\/Screen-Shot-2018-03-16-at-09.54.21.png\" \/><\/p>\n<p>There are a couple of bearish developments on this chart. First off, the action so far in 2018 has the look of a \u201cdescending triangle\u201d pattern. The pattern occurs when a stock bounces several times off of support, but each bounce forms a lower high. Most of the time, support eventually fails to hold and the stock breaks down.<\/p>\n<p>In this case, if gold breaks below support at about $1,305 an ounce, then look for a move down to the next support line near $1,290.<\/p>\n<p>The second bearish development on this chart is that the 9-day\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#ema\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">exponential moving average<\/a> (the thin red line) has recently fallen below the 50-day\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/glossary\/#movingaverage\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">moving average<\/a> (the thin blue line). This \u201cbearish cross\u201d has led to a lower gold price the past three times it occurred in 2017.<\/p>\n<p>None of this changes the longer-term bullish setup I wrote about earlier this month. In fact, we figured gold may be in for some short-term weakness. Here\u2019s what I wrote back then\u2026<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left-color: #ddd; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 4px; margin: 0px 20px 20px 10px; padding-left: 20px;\"><p>There is room for gold to work slightly lower over the next few weeks. The price could decline to the rising support line at about $1,285 \u2013 which lines up well with the 50-week moving average.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>A short-term decline over the next week or two \u2013 perhaps in reaction to next week\u2019s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announcement on interest rates \u2013 would allow this short-term bearish pattern on the daily chart to play out, while keeping intact <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/gold%E2%80%99s-decline-is-temporary\/#anchor-here\">the longer-term bullish ascending triangle pattern on the weekly chart<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>In other words, a quick decline in the price of gold \u2013 down to about the $1,290 level \u2013 would be an excellent buying opportunity for later this year.<\/p>\n<p>Best regards and good trading,<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" style=\"max-width: 200px; width: 100%;\" src=\"https:\/\/casey-assets.s3.amazonaws.com\/images\/misc\/jeff-clark-signature.png\" width=\"200\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Jeff Clark<\/p>\n<h2 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Reader Mailbag<\/strong><\/h2>\n<p>Today, some thoughts on the gold market\u2026<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left-color: #ddd; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 4px; margin: 0px 20px 20px 10px; padding-left: 20px;\"><p>After <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/delta-direct\/closing-a-couple-of-gold-trades\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">your Delta Direct post on gold and silver<\/a>, I sold all I had and you made the right call. Interesting to see how this plays out. I still think the metals will rally yet this year but it is a timing event.\u00a0Thanks Jeff.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\"><strong>\u2013 Terry <\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>And a few comments on Tuesday\u2019s essay, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/this-comment-hit-me-hard\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">This Comment Hit Me Hard<\/a>\u201d\u2026<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left-color: #ddd; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 4px; margin: 0px 20px 20px 10px; padding-left: 20px;\"><p>Jeff,\u00a0I&#8217;m relative new to your service and am very pleased. Some are too uneducated about trading in general to recognize sound advice. Keep up the good work and thanks.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\"><strong>\u2013 J<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left-color: #ddd; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 4px; margin: 0px 20px 20px 10px; padding-left: 20px;\"><p>Thank you very much for this email and of course all your letters online.\u00a0Even though I don&#8217;t have the funds to get involved just yet, I will hopefully get cranking sometime soon. Just from an outside look (not as a trader yet) your advice and recommendations seems to me to be sensational! I too realize that you cannot pick all winners \u2013 as if trying to pick a winning race horse. However, your advice and expertise gives us all a far better bet than punters could possible hope for. Well done again, Jeff, and keep up the good work. I mean it sincerely. Best regards.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\"><strong>\u2013 Garry<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<blockquote style=\"border-left-color: #ddd; border-left-style: solid; border-left-width: 4px; margin: 0px 20px 20px 10px; padding-left: 20px;\"><p>Tell Mark to put HIS money where his MOUTH is and increase his LOT size.\u00a0Jeff&#8217;s job is tech analysis and to recommend high-probability trades. Mark&#8217;s job is money management and to have enough faith to step up to the plate and lean into the pitch when you swing the bat.<\/p>\n<p align=\"right\"><strong>\u2013 Charles<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p>Thank you, as always, for your kind words and thoughtful suggestions. Please keep sending them <a href=\"mailto:feedback@jeffclarktrader.com\">right here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This decline won\u2019t last long.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":25,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"service":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"publication":[10],"person":[7],"newsletter-type":[],"ticker":[],"class_list":["post-8897","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-market-minute","publication-market-minute","person-jeff-clark"],"acf":[],"ai_tts_audio_outdated":false,"ai_tts_content_changed_during_generation":false,"ai_tts_legacy_post":false,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8897","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/25"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8897"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8897\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8897"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8897"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8897"},{"taxonomy":"publication","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication?post=8897"},{"taxonomy":"person","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person?post=8897"},{"taxonomy":"newsletter-type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/newsletter-type?post=8897"},{"taxonomy":"ticker","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffclarktrader.com\/market-minute\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/ticker?post=8897"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}